You can't depend on your eyes when your imagination is out of focus ~ Mark Twain

Thursday, January 7, 2010

Fog of War Demystified by Financial 'Power Law'

War is hell, but scientists are learning more about the devil that governs major conflicts.

Attacks and casualties as a result of modern warfare can now be predicted using a mathematical model developed by scientists in the United States, the United Kingdom and Colombia. The research could save the lives of soldiers in the field or prevent future attacks.

"When you hear about these attacks on the news at night, they just sound haphazard," said Neil Johnson, a scientist at the University of Miami in Florida and a co-author on a recent paper in the journal Nature. "But when we looked at them, we found that there were universal relationships across conflicts."

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Occupation, territories occupied, civilian casualties caused by occupying forces, world policing, treaty violations, geography, demographics, prominent religion, broken promises, and motive. Boom. I got all the information I need for an accurate model, and I just saved you millions in funding and man-hours.

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